The 40 days of nationwide ongoing lock-down since first declared saw a huge dip in the revenue of the Government.
Various state Governments are now requesting the central Govt. to permit them to allow trade and commerce and the liquor shops being others..
The tipples were also requesting the Central Govt. to open liquor shops as they were facing several withdrawal symptoms due to non-consumption of alcohol.
With Lockdown 3.0 so begins, the liquor shops are now permitted to sell alcohol in the Green and Orange zone countrywide..
Since when the state governments green signed the liquor licensees to sell the alcohol, the liquor shops across states have been registering a momentous sales despite the mounting cases of corona virus disease.
To count upon, for instance West Bengal recorded a sale of Rs.40 crores, that too even in a mere 24 hours, also the Maharashtra Government collected more than Rs.11 crore and 62 crore of revenue on day 1 and the next respectively.
The whopping revenue so realizing by liquor licensees forcing the people to hold a general belief that economy might have been supported by the alcohol consumers.
However a myth which has been busted by a study done by Global human rights community Movendi International.
Based on the research, in an article titled “Health Impact and economic burden of alcohol consumption in India” the Institution concludes that “Alcohol causes a significant negative health impact and economic burden on Indian society and the evidence based policy interventions are needed to control alcohol attributable harms”.
We are here directly quoting their methodology and the results so that the readers may observe the original findings it in their own way. To quote
“A combination of decision tree and mathematical markov model was parameterized to assess the health effects and economic cost attributable to alcohol consumption.
Health effect of alcohol was modeled for a time period of 2011 to 2050 on three sets of conditions – liver disease, cancers and road traffic accidents.
Estimates of illness, death, life years lost and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) gained were estimated as a result of alcohol consumption.
Both direct and indirect costs were estimated to determine economic burden. Future costs and consequences were discounted at 3% for time preferences of cost and utility.
Uncertainties in parameters were assessed using probabilistic sensitivity analysis.”
Results published henceforth:
Between 2011 and 2050, alcohol attributable deaths may lead to a loss of 258 million life years.
In contrast, 552 million QALYs would be gained by eliminating alcohol consumption.
Treatment of these conditions will impose an economic burden of INR 3127 billion (US$ 48.11 billion) on the health system.
Societal burden of alcohol, inclusive of health system cost, out of pocket expenditure and productivity losses will be INR 121,364 billion (US$ 1867 billion).
Even after adjusting for tax receipts from sale of alcohol, alcohol poses a net economic loss of INR 97,895 billion (US$ 1506 billion).
This may cost a 1.45% mark to the gross domestic product (GDP) annually to the Indian economy”.
Consequently, the measure so adopted by the central andon turn the state government to generate the revenue in such a way is no more than spontaneous and shirt lived.
A greater burden of ailing and weaker population will eventually make the efforts ineffective and shatter the hopes for an overhauled economy.